Super Bowl LX brings us one of the most unlikely matchups we've seen in a long time. The Seattle Seahawks (+6500) and New England Patriots (+8000) both opened the year outside the top-16 teams in the odds to win the Super Bowl. But that uncertainty creates opportunity for bettors.
There's still plenty of time to analyze props and odds, but three values stand out to me right now. Here are my three favorite Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl player props to take before the bookmakers adjust. Make sure to use one of the best sportsbook promos to juice up these picks.
Best DraftKings Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl Player Prop Bets
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Kenneth Walker – Rushing Yards: UNDER 74.5 (-110)
Right now, this is my favorite value on the slate, and there's not a close second. The Patriots have played 15 games with a healthy Milton Williams, including the playoffs. They have not allowed any running back to record more than 53 rushing yards in that stretch.
Sure, like everything else with the Patriots, some of that has to do with an easy schedule. But hand-waving that achievement away is a mistake. With Williams, they held up against the best of the best. For example:
- De'Von Achane: 11 carries for 30 yards
- Bijan Robinson: 12 carries for 46 yards
- James Cook: 15 carries for 49 yards
Kenneth Walker has gone over 75 rushing yards in three of his last five games, but context matters. Two of those performances came against a depleted 49ers' defense. And last week, he turned 19 carries into just 62 yards against a Rams defense that ranked 12th in EPA per rush.
New England presents a much tougher test. With a healthy Milton Williams, the Patriots ranked fourth in EPA per rush and have taken that dominance to another level in the postseason, holding every opposing running back under 38 rushing yards through three playoff games.
I'd think about betting the under if the line was set at 53.5. At 74.5, this is a can't-miss value.
Best BetMGM Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl Player Prop Bets
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Sam Darnold – Interceptions Thrown: OVER 0.5 (-120)
Sam Darnold has been unbelievable this postseason. But I'm willing to bet that Bad Sam Darnold is in there somewhere. I think he may rear his head once or twice against a red-hot Patriots' defense.
No QB threw more interceptions when pressured this season than Darnold (eight). He also posted a 5.2% turnover worthy play rate when pressured, which was sixth-worst among the 26 qualified QBs.
The Patriots don't have the scariest pass-rush in the league. What they do have is the best interior pass-rushing duo in football. According to PFF, the Patriots and Seahawks are the only teams in the league that have two DTs who have recorded 40-plus hurries this season. Christian Barmore finished fourth among DTs in hurries in the regular season, and Milton Williams was fourth in pressure rate.
They're a nightmare matchup for Seattle. The Seahawks have a notable weak spot at right guard, where Anthony Bradford finished as PFF's fourth-worst-graded OG as a pass blocker. If Barmore and Williams are consistently getting home, I think Darnold will give New England's secondary a few chances at an INT.
The Pats have been opportunistic so far in the playoffs, generating five INTs in three games.
Drake Maye – Rushing Yards: OVER 37.5 (-115)
This line comes in three yards lower at BetMGM than it does elsewhere. I'd jump on this now before the sportsbook adjusts.
Drake Maye's legs are the only facet of his game that has translated to the playoffs so far. A lot of that is due to the gauntlet of opposing pass defenses he's faced, but it's not like things are getting easier against the Seahawks. Seattle was the No. 1 defense in the NFL in terms of EPA per play. The Seahawks finished No. 5 against the pass.
There are no real holes on this defense. But if we're nitpicking, the Seahawks did allow the sixth-highest rushing yards per carry to opposing QBs this season (4.95). Few QBs can take advantage of that like Drake Maye.
Maye only cleared 40 rushing yards in seven of his 20 starts. But his two best rushing performances have come in the playoffs, as he put up 66 rushing yards against the Chargers and 65 against the Broncos. He saw 10 carries in both games. I wouldn't be surprised to see that increase in the Super Bowl.
The second-year QB has only handled three designed runs in three playoff games. But Josh McDaniels has two weeks to dig into his bag and find ways to beat the best defense in football. Utilizing Maye's legs feels like one of his best options, so I expect him to lean into it.
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2025-26 Primetime Player Prop Bet Record
Each week, I'll post my updated, season-long record for these prop bet picks pieces. Here's my current record (as of the Conference Championships):
- Regular Season Record: 61-56 (52.1%)
- Playoff Record: 20-13 (60.6%)
Where to Bet on Super Bowl Props
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