Super Bowl Odds: Current 2025 Odds to Win the Super Bowl

Latest Super Bowl Odds Movement

• 📈 Biggest Winner: Houston Texans +3000 → +1500 (8-5)
• 📉 Biggest Loser: Indianapolis Colts +1600 → +20000 (8-5)

More: Here's what you should know about Week 15 NFL Odds

Super Bowl Favorites – Week 16

The Los Angeles Rams (+450) have emerged as the clear-cut favorites in the current odds to win the Super Bowl. The latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook list the top-five teams as the Rams (+350), Seahawks (+700), Bills (+800), Broncos (+850) and Eagles (+1100). 

Houston has suddenly emerged as a real contender, with the Texans now owning the sixth-best odds (+1300) to win it all. The Texans have won six straight games and have not allowed an opponent to surpass 20 points since Week 10. 

Below, I'll break down everything you need to know about the current Super Bowl odds, including who is favored, who the contenders are, some intriguing dark-horses, and my best Super Bowl bets to place in Week 16. Make sure you check out the latest odds to win NFL MVP as well. 

Note: All odds in the table above were sourced from major US Sportsbooks. They are the longest available odds for each team as of the writing of this article. 

AFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the AFC heading into Week 16. Make sure to use an offer like the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks. 

Bills Odds to Win Super Bowl: +800

The Buffalo Bills' weaknesses were on full display in Week 12. Their defense can't stop the run, and their pass-catchers can't get open. Even the dominant offensive line got exposed, as Allen was sacked eight times. And yet, as they've done so many times this season, the Bills turned it around the following week. Buffalo beat Pittsburgh while running for 249 yards – the most rushing yards the Steelers have given up at home since 1975. They kept it going in Week 14, as Buffalo defeated Cincinnati, 39-34.

Recent history suggests Buffalo is about to go on a run. Since 2022, the Bills are 14-2 when playing a regular-season game in December and January. And one of those losses came while they were resting their starters in a meaningless game. If you're a Bills believer, I'd bet them now at +900, as those odds will shrink if Buffalo keeps ripping off wins. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Josh Allen is Superman in a league full of Clark Kents
• ✅ Cook-Allen duo leads an elite run game
• ✅ Joey Bosa leads scary pass-rushing unit – first-round pick Maxwell Hairston might be a gem in the secondary?

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Keon Coleman and the receiving corps aren't much of a threat 
• ❌ Run defense has been terrible – Ed Oliver hurt again 
• ❌ Mounting injuries on the D-Line could derail season

Broncos Odds to Win Super Bowl: +850

The Denver Broncos absolutely have a Super Bowl-caliber defense. But I'm not convinced their offense is up to the task. Bo Nix has been so-so, and there's just no down-to-down consistency. Denver has only been able to move the ball by generating chunk plays. The argument for Denver is that Nix started out similarly slow last year before turning it on in the second half. And we've seen signs of life from him recently. But I don't think he's good enough for this team to reach its potential. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defense led by the league's best pass-rush
• ✅ Return of Patrick Surtain
• ✅ Potential for another second-half surge from Nix and the offense

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Underwhelming play from Nix
• ❌ Run game doesn't scare defenses either 
• ❌ Up-and-down receiving corps

Texans Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1300

I wrote about Houston as my favorite Super Bowl dark-horse back in Week 12. Since then, they jumped from +5000 to +1300. They're too high to be considered a real dark-horse anymore, but they still offer fantastic value. They have the scariest defense in the league. The one-two punch of Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter is more than enough, but Derrick Stingley Jr. and Kamari Lassiter are also becoming one of the best CB duos in football. 

Offensively, we're finally seeing some signs of life. Woody Marks has impressed since taking control of the backfield. The offensive line has held up better than expected lately. Nico Collins is still an elite receiver, and the youngsters behind him have impressed recently. And the return of C.J. Stroud could take this group to the next level. Stroud has looked impressive since returning to the field. In a wide-open AFC with arguably the best defense in football, Stroud should be able to do just enough to make Houston a legitimate Super Bowl contender.

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Scariest defense in football – no one has reached 20 points since Week 10
• ✅ Return of C.J. Stroud
• ✅ Nico Collins resurgence and breakouts from Woody Marks & Jayden Higgins

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Is the offensive line ready for primetime? 
• ❌ Inconsistency from C.J. Stroud
• ❌ No clear-cut No. 2 option after Nico Collins

NFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the NFC heading into Week 16. Make sure to check out the best sportsbook promos to maximize your bets. 

Rams Odds to Win Super Bowl: +360

The Los Angeles Rams have been a lot closer to winning the Super Bowl than you might think recently. They narrowly lost out to the Detroit Lions in 2023, who nearly made the Super Bowl themselves. And in 2024, they were just a couple plays away from beating the reigning champs. This could be the year they get it done. And the books have caught up to that, as they're now the clear-cut favorites. Bookmakers are clearly confident in LA, as the Rams' odds barely moved after their baffling loss to the Carolina Panthers in Week 13. Similarly, the Week 14 blowout of the Cardinals didn't do much for their odds. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Proven history with Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay 
• ✅ Dominant duo of Puka Nacua and Davante Adams 
• ✅ Jared Verse and the terrifying pass-rush turning this defense into an elite unit 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Can Emmanuel Forbes and Cobie Durant maintain this level of play?
• ❌ Lots of aging or injury-prone key players – will they be healthy when it matters? 
• ❌ Major decline from RT Rob Havenstein & might not have a reliable third option at WR

Seahawks Odds to Win Super Bowl: +750 

I've thought the Seahawks have a legitimate shot to come out of the NFC for a while. The oddsmakers finally agree, as Seattle has vaulted up to the second-best Super Bowl odds in the league. This is arguably the most complete team in football. Their biggest weaknesses are a lack of a legitimate second option behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba, an inconsistent running game, and the occasional head-scratching decision from Sam Darnold. 

But Seattle has a Super Bowl-caliber roster. Sam Darnold has (mostly) played at a Super Bowl-caliber level. Still, he has a tendency to shrink in big moments. He'll need to overcome those jitters for Seattle to win it all. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defensively – elite upfront, talented secondary, schematic brilliance from Mike MacDonald
• ✅ Darnold to JSN is the most explosive combination in the league right now
• ✅ Signs of life from the running game – Walker retaking the backfield from Charbonnet

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Someone needs to step up behind JSN – where is Rasheed Shaheed? 
• ❌ Lackluster run game 
• ❌ Weak interior O-Line outside of Zabel

Eagles Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1200

It's been a weird season for the defending champs. We've waited all year for the offense to click, but now that we're this deep into the season, it's fair to wonder if that breakout is still on the horizon. A.J. Brown finally turned it on, but nothing else is working for Philadelphia. 

It looked like the Eagles were about to make up for that by turning into the league's most dominant defense. But we've now watched that group get pushed around by the Cowboys and Bears in back-to-back weeks. But from top to bottom, this is still the most talented roster in football. Even after another brutal loss in Week 14, I wouldn't rule them out just yet. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Recent additions round out a dominant defense
• ✅ Star-studded lineup on both sides of the ball – might be the most complete roster in football
• ✅ Offense is too talented for struggles to continue… right?

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Massive decline from Saquon Barkley & the run game
• ❌ Inconsistent play from the passing game
• ❌ Continued shaky play from CB2 

Super Bowl Contenders

Next, we'll dive into the second tier of teams in the current Super Bowl odds: the Super Bowl contenders. I recommend using an offer like the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to juice up your bets. 

NFC Super Bowl Contenders

Packers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1500

I'm not sure the Packers can overcome these injuries. With Micah Parsons on the field, this team had the third-best pass-rush in the league. When he's off the field, they are the worst team in the league in that same metric. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Elite play from Jordan Love
• ✅ Matt LaFleur scheming up one of the most explosive offenses in football 
• ✅ Christian Watson resurgence & Jayden Reed getting healthy

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Down-to-down inconsistency – might be missing a true "chain-mover" at WR
• ❌ League-average defense by EPA – a team this talented should be better
• ❌ Loss of Tucker Kraft & Micah Parsons

AFC Super Bowl Contenders

Patriots Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1500 

I think this team is probably a year away, and the injury to starting LT Will Campbell is devastating. But the AFC is more wide open than ever. At the end of the day, they're 11-3, they have an elite head coach, a solid defense, and the potential 2025 NFL MVP at QB. It's not often a team with that kind of resume is available at 15-to-1 odds this late into the season.

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Legitimately elite play from Drake Maye & Henderson leads suddenly explosive run game 
• ✅ Major improvements defensively since the return of Christian Gonzales
• ✅ Mike Vrabel at head coach

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Can they survive mounting injuries to the offensive and defensive lines?
• ❌ Receiving corps doesn't scare anyone
• ❌ Young and inconsistent – probably a year away

Best 2025 Super Bowl Bets: Week 16

Here are my favorite Super Bowl bets to place, heading into Week 16. Make sure to click the link below to maximize your bets with Odds Jam: 

Buffalo Bills: +850  

The AFC is more open than it has been in years. Every traditional powerhouse in the conference is having a down season. And sometimes this league is simple. Just pick the best quarterback. For my money, that's still Josh Allen. 

• ⭐️ Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +850 (FanDuel Sportsbook)

Current NFL Super Bowl Odds for Every Team