Giants at Raiders Betting Picks, and Predictions for Week 17

The Giants travel to meet the Raiders in Week 17. Both teams are playing out the string, and betting expert Mike Barner feels this will be a very close game.
Giants at Raiders Betting Picks, and Predictions for Week 17
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Giants at Raiders Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Week 17

One of the games on the Week 17 late-window schedule features the Raiders hosting the Giants. The game isn't important for playoff implications because both teams have long been eliminated from the hunt. However, the loser of this matchup has the inside track to the top pick in the 2026 Draft. Let's look at the betting side of things and highlight three wagers to consider.

Mike Barner's season record: 48-44 (-5.80 units)

Giants at Raiders Betting Odds

Giants: Spread -2 (-113 BetRivers), -132 Moneyline (BetRivers)
Raiders: Spread +2.5 (-105 Fanatics), +126 Moneyline (FanDuel)
Game Total: Over - 40.5 points (-115 FanDuel), Under 41.5 (-109 Caesars)

The Raiders placed TE Brock Bowers (knee) on Reserve/Injured list earlier this week, removing the top weapon in their passing attack. The Giants could be faced with a compromised offensive line with star left tackle Andrew Thomas (hamstring) trending towards being out. They could also be without center John Michael Schmitz (hand).

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Giants at Raiders Betting Picks

Ashton Jeanty 70+ rushing yards (-122 FanDuel)

The Houston Texans have one of the best defenses in the league, so Jeanty was facing an uphill battle against them heading into Week 16. The game was also in Houston. Despite the unfavorable matchup, Jeanty dominated with 128 rushing yards, 60 receiving yards and two touchdowns. With him playing so well, he received a season-high 24 carries. That marked the third game of his rookie campaign in which he was given at least 20 carries. In each of them, he ran for at least 75 yards.

The Raiders could deploy a run-heavy approach for Week 17 for two reasons. First, their passing attack will be severely compromised with Bowers out. Second, the Giants have allowed the most yards per carry to running backs in the league. In their last seven games, they have allowed a running back to rush for at least 80 yards five times. Jeanty could receive 20 carries again in this matchup, and if he does, he would be in great spot to rush for at least 70 yards.

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Tyrone Tracy Jr. over 55.5 rushing yards (-113 DraftKings) for 1 Unit

The Giants only scored 13 points in their loss to the Vikings last week. Jaxson Dart was constantly under pressure, which resulted in him throwing for just 33 yards. The only touchdown that the Giants had in the game came from their defense. The lone bright spot on offense was Tracy, who ran 16 times for 71 yards.

Tracy has received at least 15 carries in four of the last five games. The one time that he didn't, he left early with an injury. In those four games, he rushed for at least 62 yards each time. Giants interim head coach Mike Kafka has shown that he wants to lean on their running game down the stretch, so another significant workload for Tracy could help him hit this over.

Tre Tucker 40+ receiving yards (-146 DraftKings) for 1 Unit

Kenny Pickett's Week 15 start was a disaster against the Eagles. The Raiders lost 31-0 and Pickett only threw for 64 yards. His struggles contributed to Tucker not catching any of his three targets. Geno Smith returned last week, which helped Tucker catch four passes for 43 yards.

Bowers missed three games earlier in the season with an injury. In those games, Tucker finished with 62, 70 and 33 receiving yards. He was targeted a total of 17 times during that span. The Giants have allowed the fifth-most yards per target to wide receivers, so Tucker comes into this matchup with added upside. His actual receiving yards line is higher than this, but I like taking a little more conservative route and playing this alternate total. He doesn't exactly run a ton of deep routes, resulting in his average depth of target being a modest 10.1 yards.

Giants at Raiders Prediction

It doesn't really benefit either team to win this game. Kafka and Giants' front office are trying to keep their jobs, though, so the Giants aren't likely to play any shenanigans in this matchup. Still, they are 0-8 on the road and could be missing two starting offensive linemen. They have proven time and time again that their offense falters badly when Thomas is out, so his absence could be the most critical. In what could be an ugly game, the Raiders might emerge victorious.

Raiders 20, Giants 17

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Mike started covering fantasy sports in 2007, joining RotoWire in 2010. In 2018, he was a finalist for the FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Mike also won the 2022-23 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to RotoWire, Mike has written for Sportsline, Sports Illustrated, DK Live, RealTime Fantasy Sports, Lineup Lab and KFFL.com.
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