Top MLB Betting Picks for August 1: Expert Predictions and Best Bets
Previous article 0-3 ( -3.00 units)
Season 100-105-12 (-8.94 units)
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Key MLB Betting Trends and Matchups Analysis
Before locking in your MLB bets Friday, be sure to check out these key betting numbers.
Another slate where the moneylines are more condensed as the highest home favorite is -185 and a lot of low total games (possibly the lowest amount of totals I can recall)
Home Favorites - Padres -185 vs. Cardinals, Mariners -180 vs Rangers
Road Favorites - Yankees -170 at Marlins, Brewers -150 at Nationals
Totals - Pirates/Rockies 11.5, Twins/Guardians 6.5-7.0
Line Movement - Cubs -37, Mets -20, Padres -45
Bullpen Rankings as of 7.25.25 (xFIP, K/9, BB/9, HR/9 Last 30 Days)
Top 10 (Brewers, Cardinals, Astros, Marlins, Giants, Pirates, Phillies, Twins, Braves, Padres). These are teams you can feel confident betting in full-game situations.
Bottom 10 (Angels, Rockies, Orioles, Royals, Yankees, Reds, Nationals, Dodgers, Dbacks, Mets). These are teams you can feel confident betting against in full-game situations. If you want to bet these teams, only focus on the F5 inning lines.
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Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Betting Insights
The pitching mismatch of the day brings us to Fenway Park with the Astros against the Red Sox. The Red Sox have been one of the best teams in baseball over the last 2 months, but this is a spot where they are at a severe disadvantage.
Alex Cora had announced that Garrett Crochet's start would be skipped which leaves them going with Cooper Criswell against my favorite guy Hunter Brown. Brown has struggled some lately, but his season totals of a 2.54 ERA and 1.00 WHIP are just too strong to ignore against Criswell's 5.06 ERA and 1.78 WHIP.
I am going to isolate the first 5 innings as the Red Sox are most likely going with a bullpen game against Brown.
MLB Best Bets: Astros ML F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -115)
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San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Best Bets and Predictions
Friday night brings us a rematch of this same pitching matchup with Robbie Ray against David Peterson from last Saturday in which I took the under 7.5 in San Francisco. The total is the same at 7.5 runs and I will go with it again.
Petersen's home data along his most recent performances has been impressive. In his last 4 starts, he has allowed just 3 earned runs, 1 homerun for a 1.05 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
Usually it is wise to just stay away from a game with both pitchers that have just faced each team, but the total was so low on Saturday (2-1), I think we see more of the same.
MLB Best Bets: Giants/Mets UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (BetMGM -115)
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Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Best Bets and Predictions
The White Sox have started to become a formidable offense especially against left-handed pitching and on the other side the Angels smash at home. Shane Smith started off the year in strong form, but the league has started catch up to him. Tyler Anderson does not pose much of a threat and we get a perfect situation for an OVER in this game.
MLB Best Bets: White Sox/Angels OVER 9.5 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel +100)
MLB Picks Friday Recap
- Astros ML F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -115)
- Giants/Mets UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (BetMGM -115)
- White Sox/Angels OVER 9.5 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel +100)
