Evan Carter

Evan Carter

22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Texas Rangers
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Carter's arrow was pointing firmly up at this time last year. He flourished during a late-season promotion to the Rangers and kept that up during the playoffs as the Rangers rolled to a World Series title. Unfortunately, the 2024 campaign wound up being a lost one for the youngster. Carter had dealt with back problems off and on since entering pro ball and last year didn't play in a game after late May because of a lower-back stress reaction. He eventually underwent an ablation procedure, which he and the Rangers hope allow him to finally put the nagging issues behind him. Carter's numbers when on the field in 2024 were dreadful, but it's tempting to completely throw them out the window since he was never healthy. The left-handed batter hasn't hit southpaws in the majors or minors, so a strong-side platoon could await him in 2025. However, that and the injury concerns figure to make the draft-day cost minimal, and the skills that made Carter a top prospect remain. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#274
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Rangers in March of 2025.
Stays hot Thursday
OFTexas Rangers
June 12, 2025
Carter went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, two total RBI, an additional run scored and a stolen base in Thursday's 16-3 win over the Twins.
ANALYSIS
Carter has been red hot at the plate of late, logging four straight multi-hit games -- he's gone 10-for-16 with three homers, five extra-base hits and a pair of stolen bases while striking out just once in that span. The 22-year-old outfielder has boosted his slash line to .293/.369/.534 through 65 plate appearances this season with four homers, 10 RBI, 12 runs scored and five stolen bases.
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Batting Stats
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2025
2024
2023
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
6
6
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+232%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+76%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+151%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .269 46 6 0 2 0 .095 .174 .095
Since 2023vs Right .892 256 44 14 35 10 .266 .355 .536
2025vs Left .533 6 1 0 0 0 .200 .333 .200
2025vs Right .939 59 11 4 10 5 .302 .373 .566
2024vs Left .284 29 4 0 2 0 .111 .172 .111
2024vs Right .712 133 19 5 13 2 .205 .293 .419
2023vs Left .091 11 1 0 0 0 .000 .091 .000
2023vs Right 1.238 64 14 5 12 3 .365 .469 .769
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Minor League Splits View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
+297%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+47%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+41%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .836 119 18 6 17 5 .220 .336 .500
Since 2023Away .768 183 32 8 20 5 .250 .322 .445
2025Home .267 15 2 0 1 2 .000 .267 .000
2025Away 1.060 50 10 4 9 3 .362 .400 .660
2024Home .766 75 10 3 8 1 .215 .320 .446
2024Away .521 87 13 2 7 1 .165 .230 .291
2023Home 1.289 29 6 3 8 2 .333 .414 .875
2023Away .913 46 9 2 4 1 .289 .413 .500
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Stat Review
How does Evan Carter compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.40
 
BB Rate
7.1%
 
K Rate
17.9%
 
BABIP
.263
 
ISO
.196
 
AVG
.255
 
OBP
.321
 
SLG
.451
 
OPS
.772
 
wOBA
.365
 
Exit Velocity
87.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
22.7%
 
Barrels/PA
8.9%
 
Expected BA
.264
 
Expected SLG
.456
 
Sprint Speed
24.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
34.1%
 
Line Drive %
20.5%
 
Fly Ball %
45.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
The back of Carter's baseball card looks pristine and he shined on a big postseason stage, but there is one glaring weakness to acknowledge: his inability to hit lefties. He should be a fantastic option near the top of the lineup against righties and has the speed to steal 20-plus bases. Carter's hard-hit data is middling, especially for a top prospect who is big-league ready. However, he is a master at getting the barrel to the ball and taking opposite-handed pitchers out to the pull side. Carter's 13.4 O-Swing% was incredibly low, especially for a rookie hitter who also slugged .645 in 75 MLB plate appearances. For now, he is a premium platoon prospect. He went hitless with one walk and six strikeouts in 11 plate appearances against big-league lefties and notched one extra-base hit (a double) while striking out 28 times in 106 plate appearances against southpaws at Double-A and Triple-A. The Rangers are loaded, so Carter may platoon, but he could still go 15/20 with a high OBP and won't turn 22 until August.
Carter, whom the Rangers selected with the 50th overall pick in 2020, finally got to play nearly a full minor-league season and proved himself to be one of the game's top outfield prospects in the process. A stress fracture in his back limited him to 32 games at Single-A in 2021, but his approach as an 18-year-old (.438 OBP, 34 walks, 28 strikeouts) jumped out as a strength. Carter followed that up with a .295/.397/.489 slash line, 17.1 K% and 13.5 BB% while playing 100 games at High-A and six games at Double-A. He hit 12 home runs and went 28-for-41 (68.3% success rate) on stolen base attempts while being one of the youngest hitters at each stop. Carter clearly projects as a leadoff hitter down the road, it's just a matter of projecting how much power he will develop and how many bases he will steal annually. His 28.6 Hard% was fine for a player his age (turned 20 in August) with his plate skills, but that success rate on the bases is a bit discouraging. There's 15-homer/20-steal upside for now, but Carter still has room to improve or regress in the next couple years as he faces better pitching.
More Fantasy News
Homers in blowout win
OFTexas Rangers
June 11, 2025
Carter went 3-for-5 with a walk, a home run, three RBI and three additional runs scored in Tuesday's 16-4 win over the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Three hits, homer in win
OFTexas Rangers
June 8, 2025
Carter went 3-for-4 with a two-run homer and a double in Sunday's 4-2 win over the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Pulled early in return from IL
OFTexas Rangers
June 3, 2025
Carter went 0-for-1 in Tuesday's 5-1 loss against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Returns from injured list
OFTexas Rangers
June 3, 2025
The Rangers reinstated Carter (quadriceps) from the 10-day injured list, and he's starting in center field and batting eighth Tuesday against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to be activated Tuesday
OFTexas Rangers
Quadriceps
June 1, 2025
The Rangers are expected to activate Carter (quadriceps) from the 10-day injured list ahead of Tuesday's series opener at Tampa Bay, Jeff Wilson of AllDLLS.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Demotion not yet considered
OFTexas Rangers
May 27, 2024
Rangers manager Bruce Bochy indicated Friday that he has yet to think about a potential demotion for Carter, reports Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News.
ANALYSIS
Carter had a solid start to his MLB career by hitting .306 in 23 games last year and finished April with five homers and a .776 OPS, but he's batting just .132 in May and is without a hit in his past 20 at-bats. The 21-year-old already isn't seeing starts against left-handed pitching, and more time on the bench isn't a solution for a prized prospect. A trip to the minors could be in store if Carter's struggles continue to linger, but for now it appears he'll continue to serve as Texas' primary left fielder versus right-handed pitching.
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