Premier League Betting Preview: Arsenal, Liverpool & Villa Picks
This weekend's Premier League slate offers several strong betting opportunities and we focus on three high-profile fixtures. Below are our Premier League betting previews and picks for Leeds vs Arsenal, Liverpool vs Newcastle and Aston Villa vs Brentford, focusing on game script, matchup dynamics and where betting markets may offer value.
This article accompanies our full Premier League betting video and podcast, providing a written breakdown for bettors preparing ahead of kickoff.
Tools & Resources
Premier League Cheat Sheets - Predicted Lineups, Odds, Stats
RotoWire Soccer Betting Pages - Odds Comparisons, Futures
Predicted & Confirmed Premier League Lineups - 75 Minutes Before KO
Injuries & News - Player Updates After Friday Press Conferences
Watch: GW24 Premier League Betting Picks
Listen: Full GW24 Betting Podcast
GW24 Match-by-Match Predictions
We break down all three fixtures with game script expectations, betting leans, and total outlooks.
Leeds vs. Arsenal
Arsenal travel to Elland Road in a fixture that often looks straightforward on paper but can become uncomfortable depending on game state. Leeds' energy at home and willingness to press can disrupt buildup, though Arsenal's control in midfield and ability to recycle possession should eventually assert itself.
Leeds are most dangerous when they can force turnovers high and create chaos early, while Arsenal will look to slow the match, dominate territory and limit transition chances.
Game script: Arsenal control possession; Leeds press early before settling deeper
Lean: Arsenal, though Leeds strong at home
Goal expectation: Low if Leeds can keep Arsenal out of box
Betting angle: Arsenal corners and Leeds corners over
Liverpool vs. Newcastle
This is the headline fixture of Gameweek 24 and one of the most interesting betting setups. Liverpool will expect to control large portions of the match at Anfield, but Newcastle's ability to defend compactly and counter with pace makes this less open than many expect.
Much will depend on Liverpool's midfield configuration and right-back situation, as well as Newcastle's availability of Bruno Guimaraes. If Newcastle are forced to sit deep for long stretches, this becomes a territorial match rather than a track meet.
Game script: Liverpool dominate territory; Newcastle look to break selectively
Lean: Liverpool at home
Goal expectation: Medium to high based off history and injuries
Betting angle: Liverpool to win, overs in certain markets, Liverpool control-based props like corners
Aston Villa vs. Brentford
Villa Park has been a difficult venue, and Aston Villa's structure at home often leads to controlled, disciplined matches. Brentford are well-organised and efficient but rarely chase games unnecessarily, which can keep scoring in check.
Villa's midfield balance and ability to manage game state should be the difference, though Brentford's set-piece threat keeps this from being entirely comfortable.
The question will be how Villa line up without Youri Tielemans, Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn and possibly Ollie Watkins.
Game script: Villa control tempo; Brentford remain compact and opportunistic
Lean: Aston Villa
Goal expectation: Low given injuries
Betting angle: Aston Villa win, under goal totals, selective Brentford set-piece props
Final Thoughts
This weekend's Premier League slate is more about game control and market nuance than explosive scoring environments. Lineups and late injury news will be critical, particularly in Liverpool vs Newcastle, where tactical setup could swing totals and side prices.
Be sure to check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups and late betting updates, and follow along with our Premier League betting video and podcast for full discussion on each fixture.
