Each week of the season I will look at matchups, usage, pace of play and the injury report to highlight my favorite "higher" and "lower" picks on Chalkboard.
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Higher
T.J. Hockenson 
at PIT - higher than 3.5 receptions
Carson Wentz will make his second start for the Vikings, as Minnesota and Pittsburgh travel to Dublin for the league's first game in Ireland. Wentz is the key for Hockenson, who caught five of his six targets in last week's demolition of the Bengals. It was fast becoming difficult to back Vikings pass-catchers with J.J. McCarthy under center, but not with Wentz, who likes to get the ball out quick and tends to favor his TEs. Hockenson should benefit, and it might even be a part of the game plan to deal with T.J. Watt and Co.
Jordan Love 
at DAL - higher than 229.5 passing yards
This is the same spot we targeted for Caleb Williams last week, a matchup against the hopeless Cowboys and their Swiss cheese defense. Williams threw for 298 yards, and he would've went for more if it wasn't a blowout. The Packers are coming off an extremely disappointing loss to the Browns, and Green Bay will be eager to prove a point. Jordan Love should fine Dallas the perfect bounce back spot against a reeling defense still dealing with significant injuries.
Matthew Golden at DAL - higher than 40.5 receiving yards
Golden played a season-high 71 percent of snaps last week, and that number could increase as Jayden Reed remains out. With his elite speed, he's the type of WR who can top 40.5 receiving yards on one catch. He caught four passes for 52 yards in Week 3, but the box scores don't tell the whole story. Love and Golden have been close to hooking up for long touchdowns in each of the first three games, but the connection wasn't quite there. That should change.
Romeo Doubs at DAL - higher than 39.5 receiving yards
As for Doubs, he played 89 percent of snaps last week as the Packers de facto No. 1 WR, and he's a player who can succeed on either volume or the deep ball.
Jake Ferguson 
vs. GB - higher than 5.5 receptions
Ferguson becomes Dak Prescott's security blanket whenever CeeDee Lamb is out, which will be the case on Sunday. We just saw it against the Bears last week when Ferguson had a whopping 13 catches for 82 yards. Prescott will be especially wary of former teammate Micah Parsons, and I see him looking to Ferguson early and often to mitigate some of that pressure.
Caleb Williams 
at LV - higher than 229.5 passing yards
I don't see any reason not to go right back to Williams after he shredded the Cowboys last week for 298 yards and four touchdowns. He should continue to improve under the tutelage over Ben Johnson. Neither defense is this matchup is very good, and the Bears haven't been able to establish a running game. The onus will again be on Williams, and he's proving capable.
Lower
Jordan Addison at PIT - lower than 3.5 receptions
Addison will be making his season debut after serving a three-game suspension. Carson Wentz has an 18.5-completion prop, and Justin Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson are his first reads. I mentioned at the top why I like Hockenson in what could be a slow, grind-it-out affair.
Saquon Barkley 
at TB - lower than 77.5 rush yards or 96.5 rush + receiving yards
Barkley is averaging 3.3 yards per carry, and he has rushing totals of 60, 88 and 46 through three games. It won't get any easier on Sunday against All-Pro Vita Vea and the Bucs stout run defense. I'd prefer the lower than 96.5 rush + receiving yards if Will Shipley is active, as I'd expect him to handle a fair amount of passing-down work.
DK Metcalf 
vs. MIN - lower than 4.5 receptions
Metcalf has 10 catches through three weeks. He's never been a short-yardage, possession receiver. Aaron Rodgers favors his TEs, RBs and even Calvin Austin for that. The Vikings have one of the best defenses in the league. The total is low, and the offenses play slow. Rodgers completions prop is 19.5.
