Bills vs. Dolphins Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Thursday Night Football
We have the potential for a blowout on Thursday Night Football with the Buffalo Bills hosting the Miami Dolphins. Let's try to spice up the game by winning some money. Here are three of the top wagers to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 6-6 (-0.45 units)
Bills vs. Dolphins Betting Odds
Bills: Spread -11.5 (+100 ESPN Bet), -800 Moneyline (Fanatics)
Dolphins: Spread +12.5 (-110 DraftKings), +650 Moneyline (Caesars)
Game Total: Over: 49.5 points (-112 DraftKings), Under: 50.5 (-105 FanDuel)
The Bills have already ruled out two key defenders in DT Ed Oliver (ankle) and LB Matt Milano (pectoral). The Dolphins will be without starting RT Austin Jackson (toe), who was placed on IR earlier in the week. Jaylen Waddle (shoulder) is also listed as questionable.
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Bills vs. Dolphins Betting Picks
James Cook anytime touchdown scorer (-175 DraftKings Sportsbook) for 1 Unit
The Bills had one of the most prolific offenses in the league last year, which left plenty of scoring opportunities for Cook. He was given 48 carries inside the red zone, 29 of which came from inside the 10-yard line. That helped him rack up 16 rushing touchdowns. He also chipped in two receiving touchdowns, despite being targeted just 38 times.
Cook has picked up right where he left off last year. He scored a touchdown against the Ravens in Week 1, then added two more versus the Jets last week. The Dolphins allowed 33 points to the Colts in Week 1, then 33 more points to the Patriots last week. The Bills have a far more dangerous offense than either of those teams, so look for Cook to receive multiple carries inside the red zone.
Tua Tagovailoa to throw an interception: YES (-152 FanDuel Sportsbook) for 1 Unit
Tagovailoa was picked off two times by the Colts in Week 1. He followed that up with another interception against the Patriots last week. Dating back to last season, he has thrown six interceptions over his last four games. His turnover problems are nothing new, given that he had 14 interceptions over 17 games in 2023.
Given how potent the Bills are on offense, the Dolphins will likely need to throw a lot to try and keep pace. When these teams played each other in Week 2 last year, the Bills had built a 24-10 lead by halftime. Tagovailoa was picked off three times in that game and he left in the second half with a concussion. Dating back to 2023, he has thrown at least one interception in three of his last four games against the Bills. This wager comes with plenty of juice, but it's still appealing.
Dalton Kincaid over 31.5 receiving yards (-113 DraftKings Sportsbook) for 1 Unit
Kincaid has received 10 targets through two games. He finished with four receptions for 48 yards and a touchdown in a close game against the Ravens out of the gate. Even in last week's blowout against the Jets, he was targeted six times. That helped him finish with four receptions for 37 yards. He has been targeted on 21.3 percent of his routes run, which puts him in the 71st percentile in the league among tight ends.
Last season, the Dolphins allowed the eighth-most receptions and the 12th-most receiving yards to tight ends in the league. In Week 1 this year, Tyler Warren caught seven of his nine targets for 76 yards against them. Last week, veteran Austin Hooper had three receptions for 38 yards against the Dolphins. With Kincaid being an important part of the Bills' passing game, he should receive ample opportunities to reach this over.
Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction
It's difficult to envision the Dolphins keeping this game close. Crazy things can happen on a short week, and the Bills are also missing a couple of key defenders. However, the Dolphins' defense wasn't able to slow down the Colts or Patriots the last two weeks. Those teams are nowhere near the same class as the Bills. Look for the Bills to score at will in a lopsided win.
Bills 31, Dolphins 17
