NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Friday, March 6

RotoWire's Dan Bruno highlights his favorite DraftKings picks for Friday's slate, breaking down matchups and recent performances to build winning lineups.
NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Friday, March 6

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Friday's DraftKings slate features six games and offers plenty of value across the board. Monitoring NBA starting lineups, depth charts, player projections and the latest NBA injury report is essential for gaining an edge in NBA DFS contests. By combining updated NBA stats, projections and lineup optimizer insights with broader fantasy basketball rankings, cheat sheets and fantasy basketball news, managers can identify chalk, mid-range options and value plays. 

Try our DraftKings NBA Lineup Optimizer to discover more expert recommendations, customize the player pool, set exposure percentage and mass-enter DFS lineups.

Slate Overview

DAL at BOS: Mavericks on five-game slide; Celtics 7-3 in last 10 games

MIA at CHA: Heat on three-game winning streak; Hornets on six-game winning streak 

POR at HOU: Trail Blazers 14-18 on road; Rockets 20-8 at home

NYK at DEN: Knicks 6-4 in last 10 games; Nuggets on two-game winning streak

NOP at PHX: Pelicans 9-23 on road; Suns 20-13 at home

LAC at SAS: Clippers on three-game winning streak; Spurs 9-1 in last 10 games 

For the latest spreads and over/unders, visit RotoWire's NBA Odds page. There you can also find player props, futures, picks, articles and sportsbook bonus codes.

Injuries to Monitor  

For all the latest updates, visit RotoWire's NBA Injury News page and our comprehensive NBA Injury Report       

DAL - Marvin Bagley (neck), Daniel Gafford (ankle): OUT 

BOS - Jordan Walsh (illness): OUT

MIA -  Andrew Wiggins (knee), Simone Fontecchio (groin), Nikola Jovic (back), Norman Powell (groin): OUT 

POR - Kris Murray (illness): Questionable; Deni Avdija (back): Doubtful 

HOU - Jabari Smith (ankle), Amen Thompson (ankle): Questionable 

NYK - Josh Hart (back): Questionable; Miles McBride (pelvis): OUT 

DEN - Aaron Gordon (hamstring), Cameron Johnson (ankle), Spencer Jones (shoulder): Questionable; Peyton Watson (hamstring): OUT 

PHX - Royce O'Neale (foot): Questionable; Dillon Brooks (hand), Jordan Goodwin (calf), Mark Williams (foot): OUT

LAC - John Collins (neck), Darius Garland (toe): OUT

SAS - Julian Champagnie (ankle): Questionable; Harrison Barnes (ankle): OUT

Elite Players

Guards

Derrick White, Celtics ($8,100) vs. Mavericks 

White is averaging 17.2 points, 4.1 rebounds, 6.7 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.7 blocks over the last 10 games, including seven with more than 35.0 DK points and a high of 53.5. He should find room to pad his stats against the Mavs, who give up the league's 10th-most turnovers per game, and he should also benefit from a bit more breathing room on the offensive end, as the opposing defense must now focus on the returning Jayson Tatum as well as Jaylen Brown as top threats. 

Devin Booker, Suns ($8,300) vs. Pelicans

Booker produced 42.5 DK points in the last game and has surpassed 35.0 DK points in three of his last four games where he saw more than 10 minutes of action. This will mark his third consecutive outing since returning from a four-game absence, and he has a good chance to keep building momentum against the Pelicans, who are giving up the league's most points per game to opposing shooting guards. 

Forwards/Centers

Brandon Miller, Hornets ($7,700) vs. Heat 

Miller is on a roll, averaging 22.9 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 1.2 steals over the last 10 games, including two with more than 50.0 DK points. He is up for a favorable matchup against the Heat, who are shorthanded on the wing and give up the league's ninth-most points per game to opposing small forwards. 

Bam Adebayo, Heat ($8,400) at Hornets 

Adebayo has topped 50.0 DK points three times in the last 10 games, averaging 21.7 points, 9.7 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 1.6 steals over that span. He faces a challenge against a hot Hornets team, but he averages 1.6 made threes per game and is likely to find success in that area, as the Hornets give up the league's most three-pointers and fourth-highest three-point shooting percentage to opposing centers. 

Alperen Sengun, Rockets ($9,400) vs. Trail Blazers 

Sengun is averaging 18.7 points, 7.8 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.4 blocks over the last 10 games, including racking up a high of 72.8 DK points. He should keep rolling against the Trail Blazers, who give up the league's fourth-most points and most blocks per game to opposing centers.

Expected Chalk 

Victor Wembanyama, Spurs ($10,500) vs. Clippers 

Wembanayama has topped 60.0 DK points four times in the last 10 outings, including a 76.0-DK-point performance in his most recent outing, while averaging 22.9 points, 11.7 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 1.2 steals and 4.0 blocks over that span. He is likely to keep up the production with a favorable matchup against a shorthanded Clippers frontcourt. 

Mid-Range Money 

De'Aaron Fox, Spurs ($6,800) vs. Clippers

Fox racked up 47.3 DK points in the last game, which marked his best output since late January. Nonetheless, he is averaging 15.9 points, 3.0 rebounds, 5.7 assists and 1.4 steals over his last 10 games and should continue to deliver solid production by padding his stats on the defensive end, as the Clippers give up the league's fifth-most steals per game to opposing point guards. 

Reed Sheppard, Rockets ($6,200) vs. Trail Blazers 

Sheppard is on a mean streak, averaging 22.2 points, 4.2 rebounds, 5.4 assists, 2.0 steals and 1.0 blocks over the last five games, including a high of 60.8 DK points in the game before last. He has a great chance to keep rolling against the Trail Blazers, who give up the league's seventh-most points and most steals per game to opposing point guards. 

Value Picks

Derrick Jones, Clippers ($4,900) at Spurs 

Jones is averaging 12.0 points, 3.1 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.1 blocks over the last 10 games, including seven games with at least 20.0 DK points. He faces a tough matchup against the Spurs but should find opportunity to get his shot going from deep, as they give up the league's fifth-highest three-point shooting percentage to opposing power forwards. 

Mohamed Diawara, Knicks ($3,200) at Nuggets

Diawara has seen a boost in playing time of late and has made the most of it by averaging 10.3 points and 3.0 rebounds over the last four games. He could be up for a boost if Josh Hart (back) is sidelined, but he should also prosper against a Nuggets squad that is battling injury trouble at the power forward position. 

Ryan Kalkbrenner, Hornets ($3,700) vs. Heat 

Kalkbrenner is back in a bench role but is still managing fair production, with 4.4 points, 3.8 rebounds, 1.2 assists and 1.0 blocks over the last four games. He is also likely to pad his stats on the glass, as the Heat are giving up the league's sixth-most rebounds per game to opposing centers. 

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Dan Bruno plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: duelingdan.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Dan has been writing all things NBA for RotoWire since 2014. He is an active fantasy sports player, with a love for DFS. Dan is a certified Coach with the Ontario Basketball Association and is a recreation professional in his home city.
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