Brayan Bello

Brayan Bello

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Bello signed a six-year extension during spring training, picked up an Opening Day win and early on looked like a No. 1 starter. Then the walks started. He went from 76th percentile in BB% (6.7) in 2023 to 33rd (9.1) in 2024. The right-hander managed to win 14 games but needed good run support during the rough patches. Bello's 4.49 ERA was the worst among starters with at least that many wins. Walks don't always kill, but they hurt during the first half when he allowed 14 home runs over 89.2 innings (1.4 HR/9) and entered the break with a 5.32 ERA. The walks didn't stop in the second half, but Bello was able to prevent damage through better location which kept the ball in the park; he allowed just five homers in 72.2 innings (0.6 per nine) following the break. The pressure to lead the staff won't be on the 25-year-old in 2025, as Bello should slot behind Garrett Crochet and Tanner Houck -- and possibly Walker Buehler. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#340
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $55 million contract extension with the Red Sox in March of 2024. Contract includes $21 million team option for 2030.
Goes 6.1 frames in no-decision
PBoston Red Sox
June 9, 2025
Bello allowed four runs (three earned) on seven hits and one walk while striking out four batters over 6.1 innings in a no-decision against Tampa Bay on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Bello got through three scoreless frames before giving up a run in the fourth and two more in the fifth. One of those runs was unearned, so even though the right-hander was charged with one more run in the seventh, he still was credited with his second straight quality start. Despite allowing a fair amount of traffic on the basepaths, Bello was relatively efficient in tossing 82 pitches (55 strikes), and he logged his second-longest start of the campaign with 6.1 frames. Bello holds a 3.96 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 37:25 K:BB through 52.1 innings this season, and he's lined up to make his next start at home against the rival Yankees.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
88
How many pitches does Brayan Bello generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Brayan Bello generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .287 835 135 83 212 44 2 29
Since 2023vs Right .238 769 187 51 166 30 0 19
2025vs Left .292 134 19 19 33 6 0 3
2025vs Right .258 100 18 6 23 1 0 2
2024vs Left .262 379 72 43 86 19 0 13
2024vs Right .241 323 81 21 71 12 0 6
2023vs Left .313 322 44 21 93 19 2 13
2023vs Right .229 346 88 24 72 17 0 11
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-1%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.28 1.44 195.1 12 12 0 7.6 3.5 1.0
Since 2023Away 4.34 1.31 176.1 16 8 0 8.0 2.9 1.3
2025Home 4.14 1.59 37.0 1 1 0 6.6 4.4 0.5
2025Away 3.52 1.43 15.1 1 0 0 5.9 4.1 1.8
2024Home 4.81 1.46 76.2 6 4 0 8.2 4.1 1.1
2024Away 4.20 1.27 85.2 8 4 0 8.7 3.0 1.1
2023Home 3.86 1.35 81.2 5 7 0 7.5 2.6 1.2
2023Away 4.66 1.33 75.1 7 4 0 7.6 2.5 1.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brayan Bello compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.48
 
K/9
6.4
 
BB/9
4.3
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
95.2 mph
 
ERA
3.96
 
WHIP
1.55
 
BABIP
.316
 
GB/FB
2.23
 
Left On Base
74.3%
 
Exit Velocity
82.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.6%
 
Spin Rate
2177 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.6%
 
Swinging Strike
7.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Bello exhibited some improvement in his first full season, but he still has work to do if he wants to be a front of the rotation starter. He improved his control, but it came at the expense of strikeouts. Bello has the raw stuff to be more dominant, but he's yet to establish a third pitch to complement his sinker and outstanding changeup. Not only was his swinging strike percentage below average, but his called strike percentage was well below average, resulting in one of the lowest CSW% among pitchers throwing at least 150 innings. Bello has the arsenal to improve both swinging and called strikes, he just needs to find the right sequencing. Bello should have a rotation spot locked up and won't have any innings restrictions. The cost to see if he can take the nest step shouldn't be prohibitive, but he's in the wrong division, with the wrong home park to use in a streaming capacity.
After dominating at Double-A Portland and Triple-A Worcester, Bello was promoted in early July and immediately inserted into the Red Sox rotation. The righty was overmatched and sent back to Triple-A in early August. Bello was recalled three weeks later and gathered much better results. He registered a 3.12 ERA down the stretch, albeit with an inflated 1.56 WHIP, stemming from a .336 BABIP over that 36.1 inning sample. Bello needs to work on his control, but he throws 97-mph and possesses a plus changeup. With some fine tuning and seasoning, Bello could be a rotation staple. It remains to be seen if Bello makes the necessary adjustments and breaks camp in Boston's rotation.
More Fantasy News
Delivers quality start Tuesday
PBoston Red Sox
June 4, 2025
Bello came away with a no-decision in Tuesday's 4-3 extra-inning loss to the Angels, giving up three runs on seven hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Doesn't last five frames again
PBoston Red Sox
May 28, 2025
Bello came away with a no-decision in Wednesday's 6-5 extra-inning loss to the Brewers, allowing two runs (one earned) on three hits and two walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Fans seven in inefficient outing
PBoston Red Sox
May 23, 2025
Bello didn't factor into the decision in the first game of Friday's doubleheader against the Orioles, giving up two runs on six hits and a walk over four innings in a 19-5 win. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles with command in loss
PBoston Red Sox
May 18, 2025
Bello (2-1) took the loss against Atlanta on Sunday, allowing seven runs on 10 hits and five walks with three strikeouts over 4.1 innings
ANALYSIS
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Delivers short outing
PBoston Red Sox
May 14, 2025
Bello did not factor in the decision during Tuesday's extra-innings loss to the Tigers. He allowed three runs (two earned) on six hits and two walks while striking out four over 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Season turned around?
PBoston Red Sox
August 21, 2024
Bello has a 3.57 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 38:15 K:BB in 40.1 innings across his past seven starts.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander had a 5.55 ERA and 1.47 WHIP at the end of June, but he's pitched better of late and has lowered those figures to 4.80 and 1.41, respectively. Bello hasn't lost a start since June 25, but walks and homers continue to be a concern, as he has a 3.3 BB/9 and seven homers allowed in those last seven outings.
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