Top MLB Player Prop Bets to Watch for July 30: Expert Picks & Insights
Baseball brings a heavy dose of day games Wednesday. Still, there are five evening games on the slate. Let's sift through those matchups and highlight three player props to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 58-39 (+5.90 units)
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Best MLB Player Prop Bets July 30
New York Yankees
vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Betting Picks
- Cody Bellinger over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-135) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Jonathan Aranda over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-145) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
This is not a great starting pitching matchup with Zack Littell facing Will Warren. Littell has a 3.72 ERA this season, but his 4.57 xERA suggests that he has not actually pitched that well. He has just a 16.5% strikeout rate and has allowed an 11.2% barrel rate. With him giving up so much quality contact, he has allowed 1.8 HR/9. A member of the Yankees who has the highest upside in this matchup is Bellinger, who is 48-for-145 (.331) with 11 home runs, 25 RBI and 25 runs scored over his last 35 games. Bellinger also has a .943 OPS at home this season.
Warren has a 4.82 ERA, although his xFIP is better at 4.07. His biggest problem is a 10.8% walk rate that has left him with a 1.44 WHIP. He has been hit especially hard by lefties, who have a .373 wOBA against him this season. That brings us to Aranda, who is 4-for-9 with a home run, a double and three runs scored over the first two games of this series. For the season, he has a .392 wOBA versus right-handed pitchers. Like Bellinger, Aranda has plenty of upside in this game.
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Texas Rangers
at Los Angeles Angels
Betting Picks
- Corey Seager over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-150) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
Seager will be fresh after having the night off Tuesday. Prior to that, he was 11-for-37 (.297) with a .409 OBP, two home runs, eight RBI and four runs scored over his previous 10 games. While injuries have limited him to 75 games, he has been as productive as always when on the field. He has a .216 ISO an a .367 wOBA to go along with his 54.9% hard-hit rate.
Seager has demolished the Angels this season, hitting 15-for-27 (.556) with three home runs, eight RBI and nine runs scored over eight games against them. Jose Soriano is tasked with slowing Seager down. He has given up at least five runs in three of his last six starts. Also working in Seager's favor is that Soriano has a 1.60 WHIP at home this season. His struggles at home aren't something new, given that he had a 1.41 WHIP there last year.
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MLB Player Prop Picks Recap
- Cody Bellinger over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-135) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Jonathan Aranda over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-145) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Corey Seager over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-150) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit