2025 Stats
W-L
6-4
ERA
3.51
WHIP
1.37
K
109
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Williams didn't make his season debut with the Guardians in July after working his way back from an elbow injury suffered during spring training. While the big right-hander never really got on a roll, he pitched better than his 4.86 ERA would suggest, as his 4.14 xERA, 4.19 SIERA and 3.67 FIP indicates. Williams' strikeout prowess in the minors (33.3 percent) has not yet carried over to the major-league level (23.6 percent), and his walk rate is hovering above 10 percent with the Guardians, as well. The 25-year-old seems to still be searching for the right pitch mix, as he introduced a cutter and used a curveball as his primary breaking ball in 2024 after a slider was his main breaking pitch in 2023. Williams' pedigree and the Guardians' pitching development track record points to the righty taking a step forward eventually, and perhaps as soon as 2025. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Guardians in March of 2025.
Turns in quality start
Williams allowed two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three over six innings in a no-decision in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader versus the Royals.
Analysis
Williams has posted three quality starts over his last four outings, though he has just one win for his efforts and has a 27:11 K:BB across 24 innings during that stretch. Williams continues to battle a high walk rate (4.9 BB/9), but he's been fairly successful with a 3.51 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 109 strikeouts over 110.1 innings through 21 starts. The 26-year-old's next start is projected to be at home versus the Twins next weekend.
Williams has posted three quality starts over his last four outings, though he has just one win for his efforts and has a 27:11 K:BB across 24 innings during that stretch. Williams continues to battle a high walk rate (4.9 BB/9), but he's been fairly successful with a 3.51 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 109 strikeouts over 110.1 innings through 21 starts. The 26-year-old's next start is projected to be at home versus the Twins next weekend.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Gavin Williams generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Gavin Williams generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-25%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-52%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .195 | 140 | 77 | 96 | 16 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .261 | 129 | 52 | 133 | 14 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .143 | 56 | 32 | 27 | 6 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .295 | 53 | 28 | 64 | 9 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .219 | 44 | 17 | 33 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .275 | 35 | 15 | 39 | 4 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .237 | 40 | 28 | 36 | 7 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .200 | 41 | 9 | 30 | 1 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-15%
ERA on Road
2025
-24%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.10 | 1.37 | 145.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.50 | 1.29 | 123.1 | 7.9 | 4.7 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.05 | 1.24 | 59.0 | 10.1 | 4.3 | ||||
| 2025Away | 4.03 | 1.52 | 51.1 | 7.5 | 5.6 | ||||
| 2024Home | 6.55 | 1.70 | 33.0 | 11.5 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.56 | 1.12 | 43.0 | 7.7 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.74 | 1.32 | 53.0 | 9.0 | 3.9 | ||||
| 2023Away | 2.48 | 1.14 | 29.0 | 8.7 | 4.3 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Gavin Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.82K/9
8.9BB/9
4.9HR/9
1.2Fastball
96.5 mphERA
3.51WHIP
1.37BABIP
.273GB/FB
1.26Left On Base
79.2%Exit Velocity
83.2 mphBarrels/BBE
5.4%Spin Rate
2304 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.3%Swinging Strike
11.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Williams opened the season in Double-A Akron but pushed his way into Cleveland's rotation by mid-June and remained there for the rest of the season. The apex of his season was consecutive double-digit strikeout games against Toronto and Tampa Bay in early August while the only true disastrous outing was one against the Dodgers later that month. The complaint with the rookie would be walks as he had four walks in five of his 16 outings but Williams also benefited from stranding runners in those outings as none of the five were terrible outings. We could also nitpick at him only going six or more innings in 5 of his 16 outings which made it tougher for him to net wins and quality starts. Cleveland has an excellent track record of pitching development and they'll no doubt continue to mold Williams into the front half of the rotation pitcher they envision him to be. That project just may not be completed in 2024.
More Fantasy News
Guardians-Royals postponed
Williams will not pitch against the Royals on Friday after the game was postponed due to inclement weather.
Analysis
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Dominates with season-high 11 Ks
Williams (6-4) earned the win Sunday against the Athletics, allowing one run on four hits and one walk while striking out 11 over seven innings.
Analysis
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Trouble finding plate Friday
Williams came away with a no-decision in the second game of Friday's doubleheader against the White Sox, giving up three runs on four hits and five walks over five-plus innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
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Dominant against Tigers
Williams did not factor in the decision during Sunday's extra-inning loss to Detroit. He allowed a hit and three walks over six shutout frames while striking out eight.
Analysis
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Takes fourth loss
Williams (5-4) took the loss Tuesday, allowing four runs on seven hits and four walks over 5.2 innings in a 5-2 loss against the Cubs. He struck out two.
Analysis
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